The seductive promise of Bitcoin – a decentralized, censorship-resistant currency – hinges on its potential for stability. Proponents often argue that as its market capitalization grows, its price volatility will naturally diminish. This belief rests on the idea that a larger, more mature market will attract a more diverse range of investors, leading to a more balanced and less susceptible price action. However, a closer examination reveals a more complex picture, one where the relationship between market size and volatility isn't as straightforward as it might seem.
Historically, we've witnessed periods of dramatic price swings in Bitcoin, even as its market capitalization expanded significantly. The meteoric rise of 2017, followed by the sharp correction of 2018, occurred while Bitcoin's market cap was already substantial. This demonstrates that sheer size alone doesn't guarantee stability. The volatility we observe isn't merely a function of market size; it's a complex interplay of various intertwined factors, some of which can directly counteract the stabilizing effects of increased market capitalization.
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